This is very unpredictable and these are going to be difficult conversations in the coming years., THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Azure sets this cookie for routing production traffic by specifying the production slot. But the last time it was anywhere close to that level was 1999. It's been a vital force for the intermountain West because of its ability to. They are trying to negotiate a three-state deal that would reduce water deliveries even further, he said. In parts of the Colorado River basin, Bolinger said climate change has caused conditions on the ground to bump up against the designated drought categories. This cookie is used for storing country code selected from country selector. Its impossible to even guess the odds of the Colorado Basin getting another six-year arid spell any time soon, said Udall and another longtime Colorado River researcher, Connie Woodhouse, a professor in the University of Arizonas School of Geography and Development. A drought that has gripped the Southwest is creeping the nation's two largest reservoirs toward a dead pool, which would have catastrophic consequences for water users in the Colorado River's lower basin. But after more than two decades of drought it is now less than 1,050 feet the lowest since the lake was filled, and falling about a foot a week. Fidelity to the original aired/published audio or video file might vary, and text might be updated or amended in the future. Applying data from three droughts from a 25-year period starting in 1988, it predicted that even with little new growth in that basin, a moderate drought would trigger shortages of 350,000 to 500,000 acre-feet. In March, the reservoir passed an important threshold. Theyre already low, because the entire watershed has been experiencing above-average temperatures and below-average river flows since the year 2000. If the water level continues falling on its own, below minimum power pool, the dam is physically incapable of releasing a lot of water. Seen from above in time lapse over the years, Lake Mead looks like a spindly puddle withering away in the Mojave Desert, as nearby Las Vegas, which gets almost all of its water from the lake and . It supplies water and power to Arizona, California and Nevada. The regions been looking warily at the reservoirs along this long river that winds its way from Colorados Rocky Mountains all the way to Mexico, just shy of the Gulf of California. The pattern element in the name contains the unique identity number of the account or website it relates to. LUKE RUNYON: Sure, so much of the attention in the basin goes towards the rivers largest reservoirs, which also happen to be the biggest reservoirs in the entire United States. The U.S. Department of the Interior is considering a plan to keep extra water in Lake Powell. A large portion of the water in the Colorado River and Lake Powell comes from high-mountain snowmelt in Colorado and Wyoming. If the reservoirs reach dead-pool levels, more than a million people using the electricity could be required to find new power sources. The second-largest man-made reservoir in the country has dropped to unthinkable lows amid the West's climate change-driven megadrought. A severe drought could bring shortages of half a million to a million acre feet, Kuhn said. The . And theres already a supply-demand imbalance on the Colorado River, and the supply is shrinking faster than officials are able to shrink the demands that we have on the river. And this is just the beginning of what. A warmer, drier climate will only increase the strain on Lake Mead and other water sources in the area Today, Lake Mead looks like a shell of its former self, hitting a new record low water level of 1,068.08 feet above sea level, according to a report from the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation. We are really in unprecedented territory right now, and its not even close, Meyer said. That includes releases of water upstream of Lake Powell, and voluntary cuts in Powells downstream neighbor, Lake Mead. Secondly, Phoenix does not get it's water from Lake Powell. And thats Lake Powell in southern Utah and Lake Mead, which is on the Nevada-Arizona border near Las Vegas. Its not just like, you get a miracle year and youre out of it. VigLink sets this cookie to show users relevant advertisements and also limit the number of adverts that are shown to them. Lake Powell is a few hundred feet above dead-pool level. Officials managing the effort say computer models show that taking these steps would reduce the risk of catastrophically low levels to near zero. Last week, the lake reached a disturbing new. Stretching for 186 miles along the border of Utah and Arizona, Lake Powell serves as one of two major reservoirs that anchor the Colorado River. If that does come to pass, Tyrell said he is fairly confident we can deal with worst case scenario if it ever happens.. ", States that use Colorado River Basin water mandated to cut use. Lake Powell is facing such a high degree of risk that federal water managers recommended taking emergency action to hold additional water in Lake Powell, an action all seven states in the Colorado River Basin . In the year 2000, the two reservoirs were 95% full. But the warming temperatures that were seeing make it considerably worse than it would have been. Theres an increasing body of work that I would say puts climate changes fingerprints on this megadrought. Correction 01/16/23 10:56 a.m. Both reservoirs have troublingly low water levels at 1,054.79 and 3,524.22 feet above sea level, respectively. Tanya Trujillo, the departments assistant secretary, sent a letter to the seven states in the Colorado River basin warning of cutbacks to the water supply for Nevada, Arizona and California. Northern Arizonas Glen Canyon Dam, which creates the lake, has a full capacity of 1,320 megawatts, according to the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation. But a new study warns that the lake could virtually dry up in as few as six years if the region gets a repeat of the dry spell it experienced from 2000 to 2005. Is climate change the same thing as global warming? This is the highest percentage of land in the rivers Upper Basin since 2002, which stands as the regions driest year on record. Even if nothing is done, he believes the risk quite low. The test_cookie is set by doubleclick.net and is used to determine if the user's browser supports cookies. What is the long-term future of Lake Powell? It stores water as part of the Colorado River Compact and produceselectricity through the hydroelectric turbines in Glen Canyon dam. An acre-foot is the amount of water needed to fill one acre of land to a height of one foot. And its easy to put them off if you get a wet year. The cookie is set by the GDPR Cookie Consent plugin and is used to store whether or not user has consented to the use of cookies. Lake Powell is hemmed by the Glen Canyon Dam, which generates hydroelectric power via the dam's water flowing through the dam back into the Colorado River. The new Lake Powell study looks at the likelihood of lesser shortages in water availability for the Upper Basin as well as the possibility of the lake completely drying. And it doesnt allow ratepayers who rely on power production from the canyon to be forward-thinking and operate under conditions of certainty., Cities, farmers and fish all need certainty when it comes to water, and this is the opposite of certainty, Hawes said. The shoreline it creates, in a red rock desert, is longer than the entire U.S. West Coast.. The Glen Canyon Dam forms Lake Powell and the Hoover Dam forms Lake Mead. Even lower, at 3,370 feet, the reservoir hits "dead pool," at which point water can no longer pass through the dam by the power of gravity. California broke from six other Western states in proposal to cut Colorado River use as water levels reach historic lows. A load balancing cookie set to ensure requests by a client are sent to the same origin server. On top of the hydropower the lake generates, its the source of drinking water for the 7,500 residents of Page, Az., and the 1,443 members of the LeChee chapter of the Navajo Nation. AWSALB is an application load balancer cookie set by Amazon Web Services to map the session to the target. However, experts have warned such measures cannot be a long-term solution. Water managers in the four Upper Basin states and the federal government are expected to start monthly planning calls this year to consider options for propping up the reservoir if needed. This is a 300-mile canal that runs through the deserts of Arizona to deliver water to farmers and to the Phoenix and Tucson metro areas. So when Lake Mead declines, certain policy triggers are put in place. Its been a vital force for the intermountain West because of its ability to store vast amounts of water and generate electricity for farmers, cities and towns in 13 states. Chef Bun Lai explains how to see this summers cicada swarm as a sustainable snack. At 3,370 feet, the reservoir hits. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. Share on Facebook; . And right now, people are watching the level of Lake Mead very intensely, because when it dips below a critical threshold, people have to start taking less water from the river. Lake Mead's water levels were 1,047.38 feet as of February 23. The cookie is a session cookies and is deleted when all the browser windows are closed. DeSantis says he insisted on no Disney characters at his Disney World FBI director says origin of COVID-19 pandemic most likely a lab 10 key figures who will and wont be at CPAC, What Bidens FHA mortgage fee cut means for buyers, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. On Sunday afternoon, boaters spending a day at the lake stumbled upon a barrel and were able to see that it had human remains in it, according to CNN. The negotiations promise to be a more intense process than the basin saw in the lead-up to the last set of guidelines in 2007, or the effort to bring together drought contingency plans in 2019. Colorado River tribes pose statewide leasing idea, Risks to Lake Mead, Colorado River intensifying greatly, federal officials say, Arizona basketball | Tommy Lloyd on the wild, fun nature of college hoops | Feb. 28, 2023, Millions at Risk of Slipping Into Poverty as COVID-Era SNAP Benefits Set to End, More than 300 words have been added to the English dictionary. I said at the top that we dont have an official water shortage. Northern Colorado Center for Investigative Reporting, Hydropower Worries Grow As Colorado River Reservoirs Keep Dropping, News brief with The Colorado Sun: The beauty and danger of skating on wild ice, LGBTQ+ youth are less likely to feel depressed with parental support, study says, 3 abortion bans in Texas leave doctors 'talking in code' to pregnant patients, Pandemic food assistance that held back hunger comes to an end. Nancy Selover, Arizonas state climatologist, says the Upper Basin figure is concerning because that accounts for the rivers headwaters. At its highest, in 1983, the lake was 3,708 feet above sea level. BACKGROUND: Western water crisis looms as California complicates critical water deal. It also helps in fraud preventions. Climate scientists call it D4. They don't have it under control. The Hoover Dam is therefore also at risk of declining hydroelectric power generation as Lake Mead approaches deadpool levels. University of California professor Jay Lund previously told Newsweek that the cuts already implemented aren't enough, and in order to give the reservoirs ample time to recover through rain and snowpack melt, people will need to reduce their consumption even more. Lake Mead is projected to get down to 22 percent of its full capacity by year's end, while Lake Powell is expected to drop to 27 percent, according to estimations from the federal Bureau of . The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Other. As California complicates critical water deal its easy to put them off if you get a miracle year and out., Lake Mead & # x27 ; s climate change-driven megadrought of foot. Feet above dead-pool level doubleclick.net and is used for storing country code selected country... A session cookies and is used to determine if the reservoirs reach dead-pool levels, more than a million a! West Coast an official water shortage of it of work that I say. 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